An overview of recent market developments and macroeconomic conditions, as well as our over- and underweight positions. This primarily discusses equity, bonds, and money markets. Alternative investments, such as real estate and private equity, will not be systematically covered in the report, but such products should also be included in a long-term investment portfolio.
Key points
- The U.S. presidential election is in focus, and interest rates are rising in anticipation of “Trumpflation.”
- Further upgrades to U.S. growth prospects are also contributing to the increase in interest rates and the scaling down of rate cut expectations moving forward.
- Consensus inflation expectations have declined, but they are expected to rise if Trump wins and implements his economic policies.